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The United States' big non-farm market is coming in May, and market expectations are pessimistic

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange]: The United States is xmaccount.coming in May, and market expectations are pessimistic." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM foreign exchange market: The United States' major non-agricultural market is xmaccount.coming in May, and market expectations are pessimistic.

XM foreign exchange market: 20:30 today, the U.S. Department of Labor Statistics Bureau will release the U.S. non-agricultural employment report for May, among which the non-agricultural employment population data after the seasonal adjustment in May attracted the most attention, with the previous value of 177,000 people and the expected value of 130,000 people, with a large decline. The previous value of the U.S. unemployment rate in May was 4.2%, and expectations remain unchanged. The latest value of small non-agricultural ADP on Wednesday was 37,000, lower than the previous value of 60,000 and far lower than the expected value of 110,000. ADP resonates with the large non-agricultural employment, so the number of new non-agricultural employment in May is likely to drop significantly xmaccount.compared with the previous value.

▲XM chart

Superize the non-agricultural employment population data with the trend of the US dollar index, and find that the two have a certain degree of resonance. Before September 2024, the non-agricultural employment population data showed a downward shift in the overall center of gravity. Although the US dollar index during the same period was more volatile, it also showed a downward shift in the center of gravity. After September 2024, the number of new non-farm employment in the United States soared to 323,000, and the US dollar index also rose sharply during the same period. Starting this year, the US dollar index has continued to fall, and the market price has fallen from above 110 to below 100. The performance expectations of the U.S. non-farm employment report is biased when the U.S. dollar index is in a weak cycle.

May is the month when US President Trump's radical policy effect was realized in April. Since market participants are not optimistic about Trump's policies, xmaccount.companies' job recruitment reduction due to insufficient confidence will lead to a decline in non-farm employment. The most sensitive response to Trump's policy is the United States' threeBig stock index. When the stock index falls sharply in the corresponding months of non-farm, it means that the policy has an adverse impact on corporate operations and recruitment. In May, the Dow Jones Index rose 3.94%, the Nasdaq 100 rose 9.04%, and the S&P 500 rose 6.15%. All three major indexes rose, which means that US businesses generally operated well in May, and there is a possibility that non-agricultural employment reports would be more favorable than expected.

▲XM chart

From the trend structure perspective, at the daily level, the US dollar index is in a bear trend, and the latest band is a decline. The market price is near the 0.764th quarter of the previous rebound band, and has already broken through the 0.618th quarter, and the probability of the decline band continuing in the future is relatively high. The next support is around the mid-term low of 97.88, and if this point is touched, it means that the weak cycle of the US dollar index is still continuing. Another possibility is that the US dollar index is forming a double bottom structure. If the lowest point of the future bottom typing is around the mid-term low of 97.88, the double bottom structure will be xmaccount.completed, and the US dollar index may enter a turn from a decline to a rise in the future.

XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, so be cautious when investing. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not regard this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' views may change and updates will not be notified separately.

The above content is all about "[XM Forex]: The United States' big non-farm is xmaccount.coming in May, and market expectations are pessimistic". It is carefully xmaccount.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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The United States' big non-farm market is coming in May, and market expectations are pessimistic

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

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market news

The United States' big non-farm market is coming in May, and market expectations are pessimistic

Related News

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason