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A collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Foreign Exchange】: Collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
In the context of xmaccount.complex and changing global economic situation and continuous turbulence in geopolitical situation, the foreign exchange market is like a boating in the storm, affected by various news. On September 10, 2025, many important positive news were intertwined, deeply shaping the pattern of the foreign exchange market.
1. Macroeconomic data sends out positive signals, and some currencies are supported
Recently, the macroeconomic data released by some countries have performed well, bringing upward support to the corresponding currencies. In the United States, retail sales data in August increased unexpectedly, with a month-on-month increase of 0.7%, far exceeding the market expectations of 0.3%. This data shows that US consumer spending remains strong and economic growth is relatively strong, which has enhanced market confidence in the US dollar. In the foreign exchange market, the exchange rate of the US dollar against some currencies was boosted. For example, the US dollar against the Japanese yen once rose after the data was released, rising from around 147.20 to around 147.50.
At the same time, positive news came from the euro zone. The ZEW economic prosperity index rebounded sharply in September, jumping from -10.5 to 5.0, indicating that market expectations for the economic outlook of the eurozone have significantly improved. The improvement in this data has supported the euro in the foreign exchange market, with the euro-dollar exchange rate fluctuating higher after the news was announced, rising from around 1.1740 to above 1.1760. Good economic data often means that the economic foundation of the currency issuing countries is solid, attracting more investors to hold the country's currency and driving the exchange rate to rise.
2. The central bank's policy dynamics have attracted market attention and influenced the direction of currency
The central bank's monetary policy decisions have always been the "barometer" of the foreign exchange market. On September 9, the People's Bank of China announced that it will net funds through open market operations50 billion yuan to maintain a reasonable abundance of market liquidity. This move sends a positive signal to the market to stabilize the economy and enhances the attractiveness of RMB assets. Under the influence of news, the onshore RMB exchange rate against the US dollar appreciated slightly after the opening, from around 7.1500 to around 7.1450.
Over the other side of the ocean, the Fed's movements are also attracting much attention. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to announce a 25 basis point cut at its interest rate meeting on September 20. Current trading data shows that the probability of a rate cut is as high as 89.4%. The expectation of interest rate cuts puts the US dollar under downward pressure, because lower interest rates will reduce the yield advantage of US dollar assets and prompt funds to flow to other monetary assets. If the Federal Reserve finally implements a rate cut, the US dollar exchange rate may be further under pressure, and non-US currencies are expected to usher in an opportunity for rising.
3. Geopolitical tensions have escalated, and safe-haven currencies have been favored. Recently, geopolitical tensions have escalated, which has had a significant impact on the global foreign exchange market. The situation in the Middle East continues to turmoil, and the conflict between Iran and Israel continues to intensify, resulting in a sharp increase in risk aversion in the market. In this case, the yen, as a traditional safe-haven currency, has been enthusiastically sought after by investors. Driven by risk aversion, the US dollar exchange rate fell rapidly from around 147.50 to below 147.00. In order to avoid risks, investors have transferred their funds to Japanese yen assets, which has greatly increased demand for Japanese yen and pushed up its exchange rate.
In addition, trade frictions have also added uncertainty to the foreign exchange market. The trade dispute between the United States and the European Union has escalated again, and the United States announced an additional 25% tariff on some EU goods. This move has caused market concerns about the global trade prospects, which in turn affected the exchange rates of related currencies. Due to uncertainty in trade disputes, the euro-USD exchange rate fluctuated significantly in the short term, falling from around 1.1760 to around 1.1730. The uncertainty of geopolitical and trade frictions has made investors more cautious in foreign exchange trading, tending to hold safe-haven currencies and avoiding currencies with higher risk.
4. xmaccount.commodity prices fluctuate, and related currencies are implicated
The fluctuations in xmaccount.commodity prices are closely linked to the foreign exchange market. Crude oil prices fluctuated sharply on September 9, and the US WTI crude oil futures price once rose 1.70% to $63.32 per barrel. For countries that rely on crude oil imports, rising crude oil prices will increase their import costs, which may lead to an increase in trade deficits, which will have a negative impact on their currency exchange rates. For example, when the yen is rising, due to Japan's high dependence on crude oil imports, it is dragged down to a certain extent, and the US dollar-JPY exchange rate showed certain upward pressure during the period of rising crude oil prices.
In contrast, for crude oil exporters, rising crude oil prices are good news. For example, Canada, as an important crude oil exporter, rising crude oil prices will increase its export revenue and increase the attractiveness of the Canadian dollar. The Canadian dollar-USD exchange rate rose from around 1.3300 to 1, driven by rising crude oil pricesAbout .3280. The fluctuations in xmaccount.commodity prices indirectly affect the performance of their currencies in the foreign exchange market by affecting the trade balance and economic conditions of relevant countries.
On September 10, 2025, the foreign exchange market showed a xmaccount.complex and changing trend due to the xmaccount.comprehensive influence of macroeconomic data, central bank policies, geopolitics, and xmaccount.commodity prices. When conducting foreign exchange transactions, investors need to pay close attention to the dynamic changes in these news, xmaccount.comprehensively analyze the impact of various factors on different currencies, and formulate reasonable investment strategies to seize opportunities and reduce risks in the uncertain foreign exchange market.
The above content is all about "【XM Foreign Exchange】: Collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market". It was carefully xmaccount.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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