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PPI is lower than expected to strengthen interest rate cut expectations, 50, the daily moving average suppresses growth

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: PPI is less than expected to strengthen interest rate cut expectations, 50, the daily moving average suppresses the increase." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM Foreign Exchange APP News - On Wednesday (September 10), the U.S. producer price index unexpectedly fell in August, and the market became more convinced that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at the upcoming meeting. Affected by this, the US dollar exchange rate fell slightly. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the overall producer price index fell by 0.1% month-on-month, far lower than the 0.3% increase expected by economists. Previously, the producer price index rose 0.7% after being revised downward in July (the initial value was up 0.9%). Year-on-year, the producer price index rose 2.6%, lower than the 3.3% increase expected by analysts surveyed by Reuters. Carl Weinberg of High Frequency Economics pointed out that the report showed that "the production chain inflation situation is not that worrying", and that although the prices of core xmaccount.commodities have risen, the increase is lower than expected. This data alleviates market concerns about inflation, but does not bring enough easing signals that exceed expectations, which is not enough to significantly change the probability of interest rate cuts. After the Fed's observation tool showed a strong 25 basis point interest rate cut trend, the Chicago xmaccount.commodity Exchange (CME)'s "Feder Watch Tool" showed that the probability of the Fed lowering the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points reached 100%, which locked in the expected rate cut that was close to a certain rate cut before the data on the producer's price index was released. However, the more aggressive 50 basis point rate cut probability is still at a low level, at only 10%. Traders are currently awaiting the Consumer Price Index report — a data that could provide a clearer signal for the Fed’s long-term policy stance. If the consumer price index performs weakly, it may re-incite the market to "larger thanBut Ian Lyngen of the Bank of Montreal (BMO) warned that the producer price index released on Wednesday alone was “not enough to start a discussion about the Fed’s 50 basis points cut.” The rate cut bets drove a slight decline in Treasury yields. Treasury yields were moderate: 10-year Treasury yields fell 2.7 basis points to 4.047%, 2-year Treasury yields fell 1.5 basis points to 3.527%, and 30-year Treasury yields fell to 4.699%. The yield curve remained relatively stable, indicating that the bond market was basically in line with the Fed’s expected policy path. Short-term interest rates also fell slightly: 1-month Treasury yields were 4.1 41%, the 3-month Treasury bond yield is 4.035%. This trend not only reflects the market's firm expectations for interest rate cuts, but also shows that the recent inflation pressure is limited. Market Outlook: Consumer Price Index has become a key catalyst.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: PPI is less than expected to strengthen interest rate cut expectations, 50, the daily moving average suppresses increase". It was carefully xmaccount.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thank you for your support!

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PPI is lower than expected to strengthen interest rate cut expectations, 50, the daily moving average suppresses growth

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