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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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market analysis
Palm oil suffered from external drag, resulting in three consecutive negative years, and the market is waiting for new drivers to break the situation.
Wonderful introduction:
Since ancient times, there have been joys and sorrows of parting, and since ancient times, there have been sad songs about the moon. It’s just that we never understood it and thought everything was just a distant memory. Because without real experience, there is no deep inner feeling.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM official website]: Palm oil has encountered external drag and caused three consecutive negative years, and the market is waiting for new drivers to break the situation." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
The Malaysian palm oil futures market continued its decline on Wednesday (October 22), closing lower for the third consecutive trading day. Significantly dragged down by the weak xmaccount.competitive vegetable oil prices in Dalian, the benchmark January contract FCPOc3 closed at 4,454 ringgit/ton, a single-day drop of 51 ringgit, or 1.13%. Intraday price fluctuations clearly reflect that the current market lacks internal dominant logic and is instead subject to the emotional transmission of external markets.
The linkage effect continues to exert pressure
The vegetable oil sector of the Dalian xmaccount.commodity Exchange became the main reason for the market decline that day. The main soybean oil contract fell by 0.99%, and the palm oil contract fell even deeper, reaching 1.69%. In contrast, soyoil prices edged up 0.3% on the Chicago Board of Trade. This regional differentiation highlights the high sensitivity of the palm oil market to short-term correlations.
A Kuala Lumpur trader directly pointed out the market status: "Currently, futures are following the weak trend of the Dalian market while waiting for new guidance to drive the market." This view accurately summarizes the passive pattern of the current market - in the absence of internal core drivers, investors are more inclined to find direction from related markets.
The fundamentals show a mix of bulls and bears
Despite the weak price trends, the fundamental data is not without bright spots. Indonesian Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia announced that biodiesel consumption from January to September this year reached 10.57 million kiloliters, an increase of nearly 10% from 9.61 million kiloliters in the same period last year. This data confirms the solid support of biofuel demand for palm oil consumption.
Exports also showed modest improvement. Shipping survey agency IntertekTestingServices data show that Malaysian palm oil product exports increased by 3.4% month-on-month from October 1 to 20; statistics from independent inspection xmaccount.company AmSpec AgriMalaysia showed a month-on-month increase of 2.5%. Although the growth rate is limited, it at least shows that demand has not deteriorated significantly.
Supporting factors are looming
The Malaysian Palm Oil Council made it clear on Tuesday that against the backdrop of uncertain export prospects for palm oil and soybean oil, crude palm oil prices are expected to remain above 4,400 ringgit per ton until 2026. This official forecast provides the market with a clear price bottom line reference.
At the same time, the external environment is potentially favorable. Crude oil prices continued their rebound on Wednesday, rising by about 2%, closing higher for the second consecutive day. Stronger crude oil futures have enhanced the economic attractiveness of palm oil as a raw material for biodiesel, but this benefit has not yet been fully reflected in the current market. The trading currency ringgit fell slightly by 0.05% against the US dollar, which also provided overseas buyers with certain cost advantages.
Market Outlook: Waiting for the formation of internal drivers
The current market is in a typical "follower" state, and the fluctuations in the Dalian market have become the dominant factor in short-term prices. Although biodiesel consumption growth and export recovery constitute fundamental support, market confidence is obviously insufficient and stronger catalysts are needed to break the current downward inertia.
From a technical perspective, the price is gradually approaching the key psychological support level of 4,400 ringgit. If this position can be effectively defended, xmaccount.combined with the continued recovery of the crude oil market, palm oil is expected to get a breathing space. However, for the market to achieve an effective reversal, it still needs to wait for the emergence of new fundamental drivers or a fundamental change in the external market environment.
The above content is all about "[XM official website]: Palm oil encountered external drag, resulting in three consecutive negative years, and the market is waiting for new drivers to break the situation." It was carefully xmaccount.compiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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