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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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CATEGORIES
market analysis
Bollinger Bands trend indicator suggests plunge ahead of Bank of England decision
Wonderful introduction:
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Official Website]: Bollinger Bands trend indicator shows that there may be a sharp decline before the Bank of England resolution." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
On Monday (November 3) during the European trading session, the time-sharing chart shows that GBP/USD dropped to an intraday low near 1.3117, then rebounded, and is currently oscillating around the moving average (1.3135). It was reported at 1.3136/37 during the session, a decrease of 0.08%.
The pound/dollar exchange rate has fallen back recently, hitting its lowest level since April, continuing the downward trend that started after hitting a peak of 1.3726 in September.
The pound fell after the Federal Reserve's decision
The pound/dollar pair fell after the Federal Reserve announced its latest interest rate decision. As widely expected, the Fed decided to cut interest rates by 0.25% due to continued concerns about the labor market.
When this resolution was announced, the U.S. government was in a state of shutdown, and many leading xmaccount.companies announced large-scale layoffs. Amazon, United Parcel Service (UPS) and Target have all announced thousands of layoffs. In previous weeks, ADP reported that the U.S. economy lost more than 36,000 jobs in September.
The main reason for the fall of GBP/USD is that the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve's decision exceeded analysts' expectations. Powell said in a statement that the Fed remains concerned about inflation. As a result, he warned that the Fed may not continue to cut interest rates as most analysts expected.
GBP/USD will be the market focus this week, as the Bank of England (BoE) will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday. Reports in previous weeks showed that the UK's overall consumer price index (CPI) rose to a multi-month high in September.
The inflation report shows that the UK is in a state of stagflation - one of the most difficult situations for the central bank to deal with.
Economists predict that the UKThe central bank will keep interest rates unchanged and may signal a rate cut in December. Other important macro data to watch in the UK this week include the manufacturing and services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), as well as property-related data.
GB/USD technical analysis
The daily chart shows that GBP/USD has continued to decline in the past few months, falling from a high of 1.3726 in September to the current 1.3096.
The pair has fallen below the 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA). Meanwhile, the relative strength index (RSI) has fallen into oversold territory below 30.
The pound has fallen below the Bollinger Bands trend indicator (Supertrend) and the Ichimoku Cloud indicator (Ichimoku Cloud). Therefore, the path of least resistance for the exchange rate is bearish, and the next key level of concern is the psychological level of 1.3000. If the exchange rate breaks through the resistance level of 1.3250, the current bearish view will be invalidated.
Short view
Sell the GBP/USD currency pair and set the take-profit level at 1.3000. Set the stop loss level at 1.3250. Time period: 1-2 days.
Buy view
Buy the GBP/USD currency pair and set the take-profit level at 1.3250. Set the stop loss level at 1.3000.
The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: Bollinger Bands Trend Indicator Shows That the Bank of England's Resolution May Fall Before the Bank of England's Resolution". It was carefully xmaccount.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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