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Tariffs spark concerns about global recession, gold prices fall, investors turn to the dollar as a safe haven
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: Tariffs trigger concerns about global economic recession, and gold prices fall, investors turn to the US dollar as a safe haven." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On Tuesday (April 8, Beijing time), spot gold trading around 2985.38, and gold prices fell nearly 2% on Monday. Investors turned to the US dollar as a safe haven after the full imposition of tariffs in the United States triggered concerns about a global recession. However, given the severe economic situation, analysts are still bullish on gold; U.S. crude oil rose more than 1%, trading around $61.39 per barrel, and oil prices fell 2% on Monday, hitting a new low in nearly four years on fears that the latest trade tariffs from U.S. President Trump could put the global economy in recession and reduce global energy demand.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.91% on Monday[XM Group] to 37,965.60 points; the S&P 500 fell 0.23% to 5,062.25 points; and the Nasdaq rose 0.10% to 15,603.26 points.
Stock Markets
U.S. Stocks S&P 500 and Dow experienced a roller coaster move on Monday, closing down as U.S. President Trump insisted on his tariff stance and investors were worried about a slowdown and rising inflation.
Wall Street stocks have been hit hard since Trump announced a full tariff on all goods imported into the U.S. late last Wednesday and higher tariffs on some major trading partners. Monday's trading volume broke the U.S. record for the second straight trading day. In the early trading, all three major U.S. stock indexes hit their lowest levels in more than a year. In the morning, the three major stock indexesA brief rebound of tariffs was reported, but fell again after the report was denied.
In addition, the CBOE volatility index Wall Street's fear index broke through 60 points in the session, setting a record high since August 2024. After narrowing the gains, the index still closed at 46.98 points, setting its highest closing point in five years. "The fundamental problem with the market is that the government's attitude toward trade imbalances is to try to adopt a worse treatment than the disease itself. It's clear that investors tend to pause or look at the problem from a different perspective. It's pretty clear that among the many Trump supporters in the investment and business world, no one seems to stand up to support the government's tariff practices."
In the two days after Trump announced the tariffs last week, the S&P 500 index plummeted 10.5%, with a market value loss of about $5 trillion, the biggest two-day drop since March 2020. Last Friday, the blue chip Dow Jones confirmed that it was in a correction, down more than 10% from its record closing high in December, and the Nasdaq confirmed a bear market, down 20% or more from its record closing high.
Earlier on Monday, the S&P 500 index was 20% lower than its record closing high. The index rebounded briefly more than 3% after a report that Trump was considering suspending tariffs for 90 days. White House officials quickly denied the report, causing the market to recover its decline.
Meckler said the sharp fluctuations in the market on Monday made investors "a little worried that if the facts start to change, you might see the market rise very quickly."
Several Fed officials will speak this week and will also release a range of economic indicators, including consumer prices, and investors will closely monitor any signs of the recession. Gold prices fell more than 2% on Monday, and investors turned to the dollar as a safe haven after the U.S. full imposition of tariffs triggered concerns about a global recession. However, analysts remain bullish on gold given the severe economic situation.
Spot gold fell 2.4% to $2,963.19 an ounce, hitting a nearly four-week low of $2,955.89 at the beginning of the session. U.S. gold futures closed down 2% at $2,973.60. Nikos Tzabouras, senior market analyst at Tradu.com, said investors turned to cash and other safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen, which led to a decline in gold, bringing the risk of a deeper adjustment.
The dollar rose against other currencies, breaking from the six-month low hit last week. The strengthening of the dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Bart Melek, head of xmaccount.commodity strategy at TD Securities, said we are under a lot of pressure in the gold market due to liquidity concerns and margin recoup by speculators.
At present, the futures market points out that the United NationsReserves will cut interest rates by about 120 basis points by December, and the market believes that the probability of the United States cutting interest rates in May is about 37%. Rate cuts will increase the attractiveness of non-interested gold.
Spot silver rose 0.5% to $29.71 an ounce, rebounding from a nearly seven-month low set earlier in the day.
Spot platinum fell 1% to $907.09; palladium fell 0.9% to $903.19.
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