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Trump's new tariff policy triggers recession concerns, dollar rebounds oversold against yen

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If the sea loses the rolling waves, it will lose its majesty; if the desert loses the dancing of flying sand, it will lose its magnificence; if life loses its real journey, it will lose its meaning.

Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Trump's new tariff policy triggers concerns about recession, and the US dollar rebounds oversold against the Japanese yen." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

The Japanese yen rebounded from overnight lows due to risk aversion sentiment, and the exchange rate against the US dollar stabilized at around 147.00, showing that the market's concerns about Trump's new round of trade measures have caused a global economic downturn.

According to market research, the main driving force behind the strengthening of the yen xmaccount.comes from Trump's newly announced "reciprocal tariffs" policy on major economies around the world. Markets are worried that if tariff confrontations escalate to all-round trade concerns, it may hit the global trade system hard, especially to Asian countries that are highly dependent on exports.

The current weak performance of the US dollar is mainly due to market concerns about a slowdown in US economic growth. Traders generally expect the Fed to start a new cycle of interest rate cuts in June and cuts at least four times by the end of the year. This has caused the interest rate spread to narrow sharply with the Bank of Japan policy.

"The inflation risks brought by Trump's tariffs may force the Fed to stay on the wait and see or cut interest rates early." - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell recently said

At the same time, Japan's latest salary data also supports the appreciation of the yen. Data shows that Japan's nominal wages increased by 3.1% year-on-year in February, while the previous value was only 1.8%; the average wage growth in spring labor-management negotiations reached 5.47%, further verified the trend of domestic inflation in Japan and supported the Bank of Japan to continue to tighten monetary policy.

From the technical trend, the US dollar/JPY failed to break through the 148.00 mark and fell rapidly, suggesting that the short-term rebound is weak and the overall trend is biased towards a downward trend. On the daily chart, the kinetic energy indicator is still in a negative area, and there is still some room for the oversold area, indicating that the downward trend may not end.

The current important support levels are concentrated at 14xmaccount.com around 7.00. If it falls below this level, it may trigger a new round of selling, with the target pointing to the 146.00 and 145.40 area, and it is even expected to test the 144.00 integer mark.

On the contrary, if the price breaks through 148.15, it may trigger some shorts to cover, and may eventually challenge the psychological mark of 150.00 again.

Although the US imposition of tariffs will have a direct impact on Japan's exports, especially negatively affecting the electronics and automobile industries in Asian countries, in the context of the continued rise in global economic uncertainty, the yen as a low-yield and safe asset has been refocused by the market.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Trump's new tariff policy triggers concerns about recession, and the US dollar rebounds oversold against the Japanese yen". It is carefully xmaccount.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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