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Trump's global tariffs hit the dollar hard, and the euro took advantage of the trend to rise to 1.1065, but the Euro Bank's April interest rate cut may limit gains

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: Trump's global tariffs hit the dollar hard, and the euro took advantage of the trend to rise to 1.1065, but the European Bank's expectation of a rate cut in April may limit the increase." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Trump imposed "reciprocal tariffs" ranging from 11% to 84% on 86 countries around the world on Wednesday, which is the largest unilateral trade action in 100 years. The US dollar index is under pressure across the board; the euro, as the main rival currency of the US dollar, has been lifted by the inflow of safe-haven funds; the market is worried that the "tariff shock" will push up imported inflation and suppress consumption and exports. The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates multiple times in the second half of 2025 to hedge the downward risks of the economy: "This is a matter of liquidity rather than fundamentals." - ANZ strategist Jack Chambers

CMEFedWatch: The probability of interest rate cuts in May exceeds 60%, and it is expected to be as many as five times this year; US Treasury yields soared funds face the risk of forced flats; the US dollar continues to suffer passive selling.

The euro zone economy is also affected by tariffs, and the market is currently betting that the probability of interest rate cuts on April 17 is as high as 90%.

"If the euro zone manufacturing PMI continues to decline, the ECB may take action earlier than market expectations." - According to market research, interest rate cut expectations suppress the euro's interest rate spread advantage; suppress the continuity of the euro's rebound against the dollar; if the U.S. inflation data is stronger than expected, the euro may find it difficult to stand firm at the 1.11 mark.

The current EUR/USD is hovering above the 100-day moving average, but 1.1080-1.1100 is a strong resistance zone: if it breaks through 1.1100, it will challenge the year's high of 1.1145;

If it fails to stabilize, the exchange rate may fall back to test support levels such as 1.1000 and 1.0955.

This week affects EUR/USDKey events in the trend include: FOMC meeting minutes (early Thursday morning Beijing time); Fed official Thomas Barkin's speech; US CPI and PPI inflation data (Thursday and Friday); European Central Bank President Lagarde's speech and German economic data.

The above content is all about "[XM Forex Official Website]: Trump's global tariff imposed hit the US dollar hard, and the euro took advantage of the trend to rise to 1.1065, but the expected interest rate cut in April may limit the increase" was carefully xmaccount.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your transaction! Thanks for the support!

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market news

Trump's global tariffs hit the dollar hard, and the euro took advantage of the trend to rise to 1.1065, but the Euro Bank's April interest rate cut may limit gains

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market news

Trump's global tariffs hit the dollar hard, and the euro took advantage of the trend to rise to 1.1065, but the Euro Bank's April interest rate cut may limit gains

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