Trusted by over 15 Million Traders
The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason
CATEGORIES
News
- Katayama Satsuki chose to take action when the U.S. dollar crossed the border! T
- Tonight's CPI data will bring a lot of amplitude, pay attention to the gains and
- Putin says there is "no final version" of the peace agreement, is the ECB's inte
- September non-agricultural data will be released tonight, watch out for oversold
- 10.27 Gold cools off as a safe haven and does not bottom out, but keeps rising a
market news
The war is dragging on, inflation is coming, and the market warns on the eve of the critical test that it is "not a trading time"
Wonderful introduction:
One person’s happiness may be fake, but the happiness of a group of people can no longer distinguish between true and false. They squandered their youth to their heart's content, wishing they could burn it all away. Their posture was like a carnival before the end of the world.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: The war will delay inflation and the market warns of "non-trading opportunities" on the eve of the key test." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
The United States released a non-farm employment report on Friday, showing that the country created 178,000 new jobs, exceeding expectations. Meanwhile, the February data was revised down to a decrease of 133,000 from the initial estimate of a decrease of 92,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% from 4.4%. The report provided short-term support for the U.S. dollar against the backdrop of a reduced probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in 2026.
Affected by conflicts in the Middle East and market expectations that central banks around the world will raise interest rates to xmaccount.combat inflation caused by soaring oil prices, gold prices are currently under pressure. Another factor that is not conducive to international spot gold is the decline in demand for gold purchases, and the fact that some countries are selling gold reserves to support their own currencies, as India and Turkey have done recently. There may be other countries taking similar actions, but they have not yet been disclosed. This week, Trump's hawkish xmaccount.comments caused gold prices to fall further, but did not trigger a new round of sharp selling.
The impact of the Iran war on oil supplies and energy prices remains a focus for investors, especially the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. WTI crude oil prices topped $110 a barrel on Thursday, up about 90% since the beginning of the year, and average U.S. gasoline prices rose above $4 a gallon for the first time in more than three years this week.
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) to be released next week will be an initial litmus test for the impact of the energy shock caused by the war. If the data surprises with a big jump, it could cause a negative reaction from the market.
Foreign exchange market:The U.S. dollar index showed an overall trend of "shooting higher and then fluctuating" this week. Driven by tensions in the Middle East at the beginning of the week, the U.S. index hit a new high in more than 10 months with a strong upward trend. Later, it fell back due to expectations of an easing of the conflict. On Thursday, the risk indexSentiment deteriorated and strengthened again, with the overall price fluctuating repeatedly around the 100 mark. After Friday's non-farm payrolls data, the U.S. index once again exceeded 100. The overall performance of non-U.S. currencies this week was "rebounding at the beginning of the week and generally retreating at the end of the week." The intra-week gains of G10 currencies against the US dollar were almost xmaccount.completely reversed. The Japanese yen also failed to strengthen based on its safe-haven properties. The US dollar against the yen once rose above the 160 mark. The Japanese Ministry of Finance has publicly warned that it will take action against speculative fluctuations.
Gold market:Spot gold was first strong and then weak this week, and overall is still strong. On Wednesday, driven by the continuous decline of the U.S. dollar and expectations of an easing of the situation, spot gold prices rose to close to the $4,800 mark, a new high since March 19. However, on Thursday, with Trump's tough stance, oil prices soaring, and market concerns that high oil prices would increase inflation and suppress interest rate cuts, gold prices partially retreated from their highs. Spot silver has been more volatile this week, moving in line with gold but with more elasticity.
Crude oil market: International oil prices are still the most volatile asset this week. During the week, there was a brief decline due to hopes for a ceasefire. Then on Thursday, after Trump said that he would continue to attack Iran in the xmaccount.coming weeks and did not specify when the Strait of Hormuz would resume navigation, oil prices surged again. WTI stood at the 110 mark, and Brent oil returned to around 105.
Weekly News Review 1. Powell’s signal of no action is different from the Fed In his speech at Harvard University, Powell emphasized that energy price fluctuations are short-term supply shocks, and the Fed will maintain interest rates unchanged and adopt "penetrating observation" to avoid policy mismatches. But if rising inflation affects long-term expectations, action will be taken. In March, there were 178,000 new non-agricultural jobs (exceeding expectations), the unemployment rate was 4.3%, and wage growth was 3.5%, weakening expectations for an interest rate cut in 2026. Williams expects inflation to be 2.75% by the end of 2026 and believes that the current interest rate is appropriate; Milan calls for a 100 basis point interest rate cut within the year; Schmid warns that energy prices may push up inflation stickiness; Mussallem takes a neutral stance and supports adjusting policy when necessary. 2. The escalation of the U.S.-Israeli conflict and the Hormuz game Iran launched more than 90 rounds of "True xmaccount.commitment-4" operations, attacking U.S. military bases, Israeli facilities and energy industries; the United States and Israel continued high-intensity suppression. The United States struck more than 11,000 targets and increased its troops, and Israel used 16,000 munitions. Trump claimed that the war was xmaccount.coming to an end and threatened a "hard strike". Iran demanded security guarantees and pushed for legislation on tolls in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict has spilled over into the energy and shipping fields. The UAE's aluminum plant has suspended production. The global security pattern has been affected. Cracks have emerged within NATO. Europe has questioned the US decision-making. 3. Buffett’s market judgment and charitable arrangements Buffett believes that a 10% correction in the U.S. stock market is “nothing.” Berkshire holds more than $350 billion in cash, mostly allocated to U.S. debt, and only sells when the market drops sharply. Corporate governance transition to Greg Abel, who will take over as CEO at the end of 2025. In terms of holdings, he prematurely reduced his holdings in Apple but achieved a pre-tax profit of over 100 billion US dollars., Apple remains the largest holding ($61.96 billion). Macroscopically, it supports "zero inflation" and appreciates Powell's interest rate cuts during the epidemic to avoid the credit crisis. In terms of charity, lunches have been restarted, but the Gates Foundation's donations are subject to change. After his death, US$140 billion in assets were transferred to the family foundation. 4. Trump’s structural adjustment of tariffs Metal tariffs maintain high rates (up to 50% for steel, aluminum, and copper), and introduce exemption and tiering mechanisms: metal content less than 15% is exempt, derivatives are subject to a 25% tax rate, and U.S. metal production overseas products are subject to a 10% tax rate. Some industrial equipment will be taxed at 15% before the end of 2027. Imported drugs are subject to graded taxation. The tax rate for patented drugs that are not produced in the United States and have no price agreement can reach 100%, and the upper limit for economies with agreements such as the European Union is 15%. Policy goals promote the reshoring of production, but the biotechnology industry warns that it will drive up research and development costs, with small and medium-sized pharmaceutical xmaccount.companies and raw material manufacturers being mainly affected. 5. OpenAI financing and business contraction OpenAI xmaccount.completed US$122 billion in financing and was valued at US$852 billion, making it one of the most valuable private xmaccount.companies in the world. This round was led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank (with a total capital injection of US$110 billion), and more than US$3 billion was opened to retail investors for the first time. In terms of business, it will shrink non-core businesses (turn off Sora video generation and ChatGPT shopping functions), focus on building a "unified artificial intelligence super application" and integrate ChatGPT, programming tools and other capabilities. The xmaccount.company has a monthly revenue of US$2 billion (60% from consumer business), but annual losses still amount to billions of US dollars, and it is expected to be difficult to make a profit before 2030. 6. SpaceX sprints for the largest IPO in history SpaceX secretly submitted an IPO application, planning to raise US$75 billion, with a target valuation of US$1.75 trillion. If successful, it will surpass Saudi Aramco’s 2019 record. The listing code is "Project Apex" and is jointly underwritten by 21 investment banks. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and others are the lead underwriters. It is initially set to be listed in June 2026. The exchange expects Nasdaq. The issuance structure is open to retail investors with a maximum subscription ratio of 30%, continuing Musk’s retail investor participation strategy. If included in the Nasdaq 100 Index, it may attract billions of dollars in passive capital inflows, and Musk will become the first entrepreneur to helm two trillion-dollar listed xmaccount.companies (the other is Tesla). 7. Anthropic source code leak incident On April 1, Anthropic confirmed that part of the internal source code of the programming tool ClaudeCode was leaked due to human error. No customer data or credentials were involved. The xmaccount.company is taking measures to prevent similar incidents. The leaked post has been viewed more than 21 million times on the X platform. The source code leakage may allow xmaccount.competitors to analyze its core tool architecture and impact the technology moat. Previously, on March 27, Fortune magazine reported that documents related to the xmaccount.company's new generation AI model were found in public data caches. This was the second data-related incident within a week. The above content isIt is about "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: War delays and inflation is xmaccount.coming, the market warns of "non-trading opportunities" on the eve of the critical test". It is carefully xmaccount.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support! Sharing is as simple as a gust of wind can bring refreshing, as pure as a flower can bring fragrance. Gradually my dusty heart opened up, and I understood that sharing is actually as simple as the technology.
Disclaimers: XM Group only provides execution services and access permissions for online trading platforms, and allows individuals to view and/or use the website or the content provided on the website, but has no intention of making any changes or extensions, nor will it change or extend its services and access permissions. All access and usage permissions will be subject to the following terms and conditions: (i) Terms and conditions; (ii) Risk warning; And (iii) a complete disclaimer. Please note that all information provided on the website is for general informational purposes only. In addition, the content of all XM online trading platforms does not constitute, and cannot be used for any unauthorized financial market trading invitations and/or invitations. Financial market transactions pose significant risks to your investment capital.
All materials published on online trading platforms are only intended for educational/informational purposes and do not include or should be considered for financial, investment tax, or trading related consulting and advice, or transaction price records, or any financial product or non invitation related trading offers or invitations.
All content provided by XM and third-party suppliers on this website, including opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, other information, and third-party website links, remains unchanged and is provided as general market commentary rather than investment advice. All materials published on online trading platforms are only for educational/informational purposes and do not include or should be considered as applicable to financial, investment tax, or trading related advice and recommendations, or transaction price records, or any financial product or non invitation related financial offers or invitations. Please ensure that you have read and fully understood the information on XM's non independent investment research tips and risk warnings. For more details, please click here