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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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market analysis
【XM Decision Analysis】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: To Retest 1.1200 before Soaring to 1.1500
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Decision Analysis】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: To Retest 1.1200 before Soaring to 1.1500". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Bearish view
- Sell the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.1200.
- Add a stop-loss at 1.1470
- Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bullish view
- Buy the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.1400.
- Add a stop-loss to 1.1200.
The EUR/USD exchange rate pulled back as the recent rally took a breather after the latest European industrial production data. The pair was trading at 1.1280, down from this week’s high of 1.1470.
US dollar index weakness could continue
The EUR/USD pair has been bullish in the past few weeks because of the falling US dollar. Economists expect that the greenback will continue slowing in the next few days. A survey of fund managers showed that they expect it to continue falling in the next twelve months. The bearishness was the worst since 2006.
This outlook is because of Donald Trump’s policies, which have led to questions about the reliability of the United States and its role as a safe haven. The most damaging of these policies have been on tariffs, which are expected to have a major implication on the world economy.
Trump placed a 10% tariff on most goods from Europe, and a 25% levy on the bloc’s vehicles, steel, and aluminium. In a statement on Tuesday, the head of European trade negotiations said that talks would take longer than expected because of the little clarity on the US side.
His statement came after Eurostat data showed that the industrial production rose by 1.2% in February after falling by 0.6% a month earlier. The economic sentiment index declined to minus 18.5 after growing to 11.5 a month earlier. Most executives are concerned about the ongoing trade war.
The next key EUR/USD news will be the upcoming European consumer inflation data. Economists expect the data to show that the headline inflation rose to 2.3%, while the core CPI rose to 2.6%.
The other key data to watch will be the US retail sales, manufacturing, and industrial production.
EUR/USD technical analysis
The EUR/USD exchange rate peaked at 1.1470, its highest level in years as the US dollar index plunged. It recently crossed the important resistance level at 1.1210, the upper side of the cup and handle pattern, a popular continuation sign.
The pair has remained above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which have formed a bullish crossover pattern.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have continued rising as the momentum gained steam.
Therefore, the pair will likely have a break-and-retest pattern by falling to the support at 1.1200 and then resuming the bullish trend. If this happens, the pair will likely rise to 1.1500.
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