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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2014年首届亚军
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
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2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
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2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
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投查查于2024年颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
FOLLOWME交易社区授予
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2016年最佳外汇经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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CATEGORIES
News
- A collection of good and bad news affecting the foreign exchange market
- Dollar weakens on awaiting delayed data, BoE easing hopes
- The U.S. economy is cooling down across the board, and a booster shot of interes
- Gold started the shock
- Gold and US dollars tumble, U.S. stocks soar, the Fed’s QT policy reaches an inf
market news
EUR/USD fundamentals-led consolidation pattern
Wonderful introduction:
If the sea loses the rolling of huge waves, it will lose its majesty; if the desert loses the wild dance of flying sand, it will lose its magnificence; if life loses its true course, it will lose its meaning.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Group]: Consolidation pattern dominated by EUR/USD fundamentals". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
During the European trading session on Friday (November 28), the time-sharing chart of EUR/USD was in the stabilizing stage after a short-term rapid decline. The overall trend was that shorts dominated the day and recovered slightly in late trading. The exchange rate fluctuated within a narrow range around 1.1557, slightly down 0.32% from the previous trading day.
In 2025, the EUR/USD will show the distinctive characteristics of "strengthening and then stabilizing": from February to September, it went out of a strong unilateral rise, with a cumulative increase of 11.96% since the beginning of the year, making it one of the best-performing mainstream currencies in the world; after entering the fourth quarter, the increase has significantly converged, and the exchange rate has fallen into a periodic consolidation in the 1.14-1.18 range, with trading volume declining simultaneously as the long-short divergence increases.
Fundamental Analysis
In the United States, the easing expectations on the US dollar are the core driver of the current exchange rate resilience. New York Fed President Williams made it clear last Friday that if inflation continues to fall toward the 2% target, "it may be necessary to implement U.S. interest rate cuts again in the short term." This remark broke the market's previous perception of the Fed's "hawkish pause." According to the CME Fed Watch Tool, the market's probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in December has soared to 85%, and the shift in interest rate expectations has directly exerted continuous pressure on the US dollar.
In Europe, as the "engine" of the Eurozone economy, Germany's data performance directly dominates the short-term trend of the euro. On the negative side, in addition to the decline in the IFO index, the initial value of HCOB Germany's xmaccount.comprehensive PMI fell from 53.9 to 52.1 in November, a two-month low. Among them, the manufacturing PMI fell from 49.6 to 48.4, and the decline in export orders hit the fastest pace since January, indicating that the growth momentum of core industries continues to weaken. The German Finance Ministry has lowered its forecast, believing that the economy will only achieve "at best" by the end of the year."Weak growth". France, Spain, Italy and Germany released preliminary CPI data for November today. The inflation situation will not change significantly in the short term, and the European Central Bank may not adjust interest rates throughout 2026.
The dual impact of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday and the failure of the trading system has significantly exacerbated short-term fluctuations in exchange rates. On Friday, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) CME) caused the foreign exchange, futures and other market transactions to be suspended for several hours due to the monthly contract settlement day. The centralized processing of a large number of open positions may cause subsequent price changes. Traders reported that "the lack of futures market guidance makes spot trading like flying in the dark", and the shrinking liquidity makes the exchange rate extremely prone to irrational fluctuations.
Full Global risk appetite provides indirect support. The MSCI global market stock index is still close to historical highs, and high risk appetite drives capital flows to carry trades. In the current low foreign exchange volatility environment, investors can obtain stable income through the interest rate difference between the euro and the US dollar. This logic effectively limits the euro's correction space and becomes an important buffering factor in the consolidation pattern.
The European Central Bank yesterday. The minutes of the meeting released on the same day confirmed that any policy adjustments are more likely to be biased towards the easing direction. If the inflation rate continues to be lower than expected during the forecast period, the moderates in the European Central Bank may take stronger actions and push for further interest rate cuts. Before the release of relevant U.S. data, or before the Fed announces an interest rate cut in December, the only factor that can really promote the continued rise of the euro. On the one hand, the peace talks in Poland have made positive progress.
Volkmar Baur, a foreign exchange analyst at xmaccount.commerzbank, pointed out that the economic growth momentum in the United States is stronger, and people are skeptical about the improvement of the German economy.
Technical analysis: The resistance level above 1.1600 for EUR/USD suppresses the bulls
EUR/USD rebounded from the weekly low near 1.1500, but encountered resistance below the upper track of the downward channel extending from the early October high (currently about 1.1615), and the momentum of the rally weakened on Friday. The 4-hour relative strength index (RSI) showed a downward trend, falling to 50. Below the mark; at the same time, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is crossing the signal line, highlighting that the bullish momentum is gradually fading.
The immediate support level is found at the previous resistance conversion level of 1.1550 (close to the highs of November 21 and 24). Further below, the psychological mark of 1.1500 and the low of November 5 (about 1.1470) will constitute a bearish trend. The test, further down, is the lower track of the current channel around 1.1420.
On the contrary, if there is a bullish counterattack, it will need to break through the upper track of the channel near 1.1615 to confirm the trend change, and then bring the October 28 high (about 1.1670) into sight. The higher target points to the October 17 high, which is slightly lower than 1.1730./p>
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